The Election is Not Over - Understanding Barack Obama Polling Deception - An Analysis
Backhttp://www.cbsnews.com/htdocs/pdf/Oct08a-ALL.pdf "...This CBS poll had a total of 875 respondents that identified themselves as registered voters. Out of these 875 people, they have 275 people identifying themselves as Republicans. A full 28.3 percent, they also have 307 people identifying themselves as Independents, about 35.1 percent. They have 320 people identifying themselves as Democrats, about 36.6 percent. Out of total respondents, an 8.3 percent advantage for Democrats over Republicans. The actual difference between Democrats and Republicans is 45 people, that is 16.3 percent more Democrats polled than Republicans. Yet this poll shows Obama with a 3 point lead, within it's own margin of error, a statistical tie even with this oversampling. Most other polls being conducted right now show similar or worse oversampling and methodology. When the pollsters want the results to be closer, they usually sample more Independents and when they want the results to show Obama with a huge lead, they usually sample more Democrats. This is why I don't want anyone to get discouraged. When I do the math on these polls, there is no way that Obama gets 50 percent of the vote in this country come election day. That, in and of itself is a good indicator that he can't win. He can only win if you don't show up. If we all show up on election day in numbers similar to 2004, there is no way we can lose. Don't get discouraged. Don't be taught to lose. We are winning!"
Category: News
Uploaded: October 7th, 2008 @ 7:40 am
Author: RevolutionOfCG
Length: 05:03
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Tags: analysis barack by democrats drive election hype is john liberal lies mccain media obama over oversampling poll
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